That type of recklessness and hubris has left more than one grown man battered and weeping on the crusted couch of some seedy motel.

So exactly what do we do? Are bettors caught in some metaphysical void between faith and reason? Not exactly. But I also can?t tell you that there?s a correct way to evaluate the psychological implications of random and insane events. I?ll leave that to the armchair psychologist in each of you.

My best advice is that preparation and sound research can protect you from random Acts of God. But it won?t make you immune to them. Here are a few simple tips and guidelines that might help:

1) Ignore the mainstream media. Their job is to sensationalize the trivial and whip fans into a frenzy. They?re like picadors ? those guys who drive lances into bulls before they are sent into the ring for slaughter. They guide the public and the public is usually wrong.

2) Emotion has a bigger role in college football than in the NFL. The pro game is one of cool efficiency, whereas hormones and pride fuel the college game. Off-field incidents and injuries will have a greater impact on younger players.

3) Play momentum.
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